The NBA draft is right around the corner(June 28) and also happens to be one of my favorite sporting events in the world. I do not know why this is, but it always has been. Maybe it has something to do with one of my best friends being a Knicks fan. For the past few years I have gone to his house for the draft and each and every year the Knicks pick Jordan Hill or Iman Shumpert while the likes of Brandon Jennings and Kenneth Faried sit waiting to have productive careers, I cannot help but find joy in the shear pain it causes my friend(that is the definition of friendship if you were wondering). It could have something to do with my best friend and I vowing to sit up until we see Brian Cardinal selected, then sprinting upstairs to tell my father who is in a deep slumber and could care less. Or maybe it simply has to do with the fact that every year some team is going to select Hasheem Thabeet or Michael Olowokandi, but whatever the reason may be I love the NBA Draft!
With all of that said I have been predicting players futures and evaluating the talent of prospects for years. The only problem is, up until this point it has always been a situation of me saying “I told you Paul George was gonna be good” and my father or a friend saying “sure you did.” Or me saying “I swear I’d take Durant number 1 over Oden, Oden has a disease that ages him, I’m telling you” Followed again by, “sure you would.” Both of those situations are true(I promise) but tonight the “I’m telling you” stops, tonight I will actually put to paper my thoughts and predictions for this 2012 draft class.
(While we are on the subject of I told you so’s I said Klay Thompson was going to be good too, the jury is still out, but I just wanted to put that out there.)
Now on to some predictions.
Over the next few days I will be profiling a list of 30 NBA hopefuls. This list of 30 players is a combination of guys that NBA mock drafts think are going to get drafted, coupled with some guys I believe will not be first round picks, but will have good NBA careers. This list is NOT a mock draft of where I think guys will go or a ranking of the top 30 players. Just to clear up any confusion the list is going to be put in alphabetical order. So with that being said here we go:
*Andrew Nicholson and Damian Lillard are by most accounts considered 1st round picks, but are not on this list simply because I have never seen and either of them play and I’m not making a prediction on anyone I’ve never seen play, that’s just stupid.
Quincy Acy
Baylor
2011-2012 Stats: 11.8 PPG, 7.2 RPB, 1.8 BLK, 55.7 FG%
6’7, 235 LBS
Acy is one of the players that I believe will have a solid NBA career while not being at the top of anyones draft board. There are a few things that translate from college to the NBA and Acy contains one of them: effort. I see Acy as a max effort/energy guy off the bench that will give a team quality minutes and provide quality rebounding and defense. He does not strike me as a guy that will be worried about playing time or shot attempts, but rather a good teammate who is willing to do whatever it takes to help his team win. These attributes coupled with his freakish athleticism should help him overcome his lack of size for a power forward and will enhance his chances at having a long NBA career.
Harrison Barnes
North Carolina
2011-2012 Stats: 17.1 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 1.1 APG
6’8, 227 LBS
Let me preface what I am about to say by saying to all the UNC fans: I understand why you hate him, I really do. Now that that is over allow me to tell you how an unbiased UNC fan should feel about Harrison Barnes, the NBA player. Barnes was handcuffed by the college game. The smaller floor, poor spacing, people take charges(this is where the UNC fan says he didn’t drive), and lake of pick and role situations did not allow Barnes to flourish. Barnes has great height for a small forward, above average athleticism, and an above average jump shot, a jump shot that will only get better, even Serge Ibaka can shoot in the league. Sorry UNC fans, but that translates into a good NBA player. As for emotionally and psychologically I cannot speak for any of these kids, but I can tell you this about Barnes, he will be a good pro, with a chance to be great.
Bradley Beal
Florida
2011-2012 Stats: 14.6 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 2.2 APG
6’4, 207 LBS
Player, that is all I can say about Bradley Beal. Pure and simple, he is an NBA player, he has the body, the athleticism, and the jump shot. If I had to put all the money I have ever made or ever will make on one player in this draft to be a very successful pro it would be Bradley Beal. He is the safest pick in this draft. He may not be the player in this draft with the most potential(Anthony Davis) but I can guarantee you he will be a very good NBA player. Would I still take Davis number 1? Sure, but Beal is Charlotte proof(meaning even if he goes to Charlotte he’ll still be good, something you can’t say for a lot of guys).
Anthony Davis
Kentucky
2011-2012 Stats: 14.3 PPG, 10 RPG, 4.7 BLK
6’11, 220 LBS
As a Kentucky fan I watched Anthony Davis play nearly every game(approx. 40 times). So I have seen him stellar(99% of the time) and not stellar(why does Cody Zeller own him?). Therefore I say to New Orleans, you have to take him number 1, there is no 1A, even with what I said about Beal there is no way in the world you would take him over Davis. Potentially Davis can be a cross between Kevin Durant and Marcus Camby, but even if he fails and never reaches his potential, he will be an interior defensive presence that will have to be accounted for at all times. To the doubters who say he is weak and frail, take a look at the new Slam magazine cover and tell me he has not been in the weight room. That is just 1 months work, think about 5 years. To the people who say he has no interior game realize this, Davis came to Kentucky as a 6’11 big who’s offensive game resembled a guard with no post presence and no clue as to what to do on the block. He left with a deadly right and left handed jump hook; 1 year!!! Davis’ potential is unlimited and his floor is pretty high as well, I like my odds if I am New Orleans.
Andre Drummond
UCONN
2011-2012 Stats: 10.2 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 2.7 BLK
6’11, 278 LBS
If there is a higher risk, higher reward player in this draft I have yet to find him. Watching highlight videos from high school of Drummond make you think of Dwight Howard 2.0, watching anything of him in a UCONN uniform makes you wonder if he has ever played basketball before. He looked lost, disinterested and out of touch this past season for the Huskies. Drummond shot 29 percent from the free throw line, 29! Chris Dudley thinks Drummond sucks at shooting free throws. This number has to come up, but how much? Doubled would be 58 percent, scary. There is no denying Drummond’s athleticism, but can we doubt whether or not he can play basketball? Yes. In the end, there is no middle ground for Andre Drummond, if he gets it, he’ll be a perennial All-Star, if he does not, he’ll be a journey man who makes Kwame Brown feel good about his career. For Kwame MJ, pick Drummond, for Andre, please stay away.
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
Kentucky
2011-2012 Stats: 11.8 PPG, 7.6 RBG, 2 APG
6’7, 230
This may be the hardest profile for me as a Kentucky fan to write. There is no denying MKG was the heart and sole of the 2012 Wildcats and there is no doubt they do not win the title without him, but there are legitimate concerns when it comes to translation to the NBA. The most glaring weakness, if not the only weakness is shooting. To put it mildly, the hitch in MKG’s jump shot should not be taught to anyone. On the way up it is as if he slightly double clutches before releasing the ball, thus making him a poor jump shooter. MKG shot 25.5 percent from the 3-point line this past season, not great, but at the same time he shot 74.5 percent from the foul line. This tells me(along with watching him) that he has a good follow through. The hitch however, combined with the lack of ark on his shot is something to fret over. The positive for Gilchrist(and the NBA team that picks him) is, whatever his issue or weakness may be, there is no doubt he will work harder than anyone to fix it. No one, and I mean no one will outwork MKG, he plays as hard or harder than anyone in this draft and as I said earlier about Acy, effort/energy translates. In the end I do not ever believe Gilchrist will ever be a consistent 3-point shooter, but someone with 15-17 foot range. If Gilchrist is the third or fourth best player on your team, you will be in the finals, if he is your best or second best, get familiar with the lottery.
Draymond Green
2011-2012 Stats: 16.1 PPG, 10.4 RPG, 3.6 APG
6’7, 235 LBS
Draymond Green improved as a basketball player every year in college. From averaging 3.3 points per night as a freshman to 16 as a senior. The two things Draymond Green seems to not have the ability to do: grown and become more athletic. These are legitimate issues for a power forward who is considered an offensive player. Green, unlike Drummond does have a great feel for the game, yet I just do not see how he can be overly successful in the league. I would love to compare Green to Glen Davis, and I would, but there is one problem, Davis is 6’9.
Be sure to stay tuned as I profile H-L in the next couple of days.